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April 22, 2004
Basrah, Baghdad
I would like to observe two items:
(a) the Basrah bombings suggest to me Saudi based al-Qaedah types are operating. I note the news coming out of KSA (the bombing claimed by al-Qaedah) suggests that the situation there is not good, to say the least. Results, hard to tell. But put in the context of Jordan and other infos I have heard suggests the al-Qaedah people are feeling energized. Recruitment is probably better than it has been in years. I note for the record, by the way, the gross hypocrisy of the anti-Brit demos after the Basrah bombings. Sadrist hypocrites. They really are the worst sort of folks and deserve to be squashed like insects, but the Coalition doing so probably, given the context, is probably net negative. Did not have to be that way, but the sheer clumsiness so far makes it so.
(b) Baghdad - assasinations suggest that the present quasi calm is a false calm, both the Americans and the Resistance are taking a breath.
(c) Fallujah - looks like its going to open up again. The question is, what about the Shiite zone and will the flash of solidarity at the start of the month rebound or not? Will the Cowboy types decide to go after Najaf?
In other items, Steel is Stalled. No fucking data, no fucking response from CPA. Fuck em, they don't fucking want our motherfucking money, they can go to fucking hell the incompetent posers. Worst part, is these fucking assholes are going to go home rapping about their experience in the Arab world, Fucking idiots. Real fucking idiots sitting in fucking villas without any real idea of what it is going to take to get things done.
Final item, got me hands on US plans for a special financial vehicle for the region, a sort of MENA IFC funded by the US. Document talks about getting other peeps to come in, but bloody hell, what kind of cheap crack are they smoking? Europeans and WB are not going to come into the structure they're proposing where Presidential appointees have vetoes. Still, need to give this a close read. Might be some money in it for me - I'm counter cyclical after all. I make money out of your policy makers errors. Except when they get too fucking bad, like Iraq. Assholes.
Posted by The Lounsbury at April 22, 2004 11:38 PM
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Jan-Jul 2004
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