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April 26, 2005

Oh perhaps fashionable now. Iraq. Civil War.

For a while I was getting worried that my congenital cynicysm and pessimism would not serve me well (although the steel project almost overcome those traits with my greed and cynicysm).

ANALYSIS-Once taboo words 'civil war' now spoken in Iraq
26 Apr 2005 14:14:13 GMT
Source: Reuters
By Luke Baker
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/BAK623643.htm

"I do not want to say civil war, but we are going the Lebanese route, and we know where that led," says Sabah Kadhim, an adviser to the Interior Ministry who spent years in exile before returning to Iraq after Saddam Hussein's overthrow.

......

The failure to form a government in the immediate aftermath of the ballot, when the nation was buoyed by the fact more than 8 million people defied threats and voted, has allowed distrust to grow as all sides scramble to secure a share of power.

"The huge window of opportunity created by the success of the elections has been frittered away in the politics of personal gain and internecine squabbling," said Toby Dodge, an Iraq expert at Queen Mary University of London.

Well, although I wavered, my underlying feeling is in the Middle East you can usually count on the super-atomized clannish nature of politics to fritter away virtually any opportunity in any given moderately consensus based decision setting.

I was wrong when I said that elections would change nothing, but not wrong in presuming that in the end they would not really change the political calculus that has slid more or less inexorably to maximalism.

Posted by The Lounsbury at April 26, 2005 06:28 PM
Filed Under: Jan-July 2005

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