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August 30, 2005

Foreign Exchange - The New Rip Off Promo for the Get Rich Quick Rip Off Artists?

A moderately tongue in cheek question as a recent comment posted in the archive here from my livejournal (as a side note I am slowly but surely pulling the livejournal archive into a publically accessible mode here at Lounsbury 'Aqoul) based on that June posting of mine wondering about the idiots at iraqinvestors.com

This reminded me of the issue (although I had a bit of sport trying to educate them for two or three days in mid August after an IMF Article IV consultation staff report was published), and by similar chance while researching something else I kept coming across bottom feeder For Ex services links on somewhat 3rd tierish websites with no obvious connexion to foreign exchange issues.

The question that arises in my mind is really somewhat pedestrain but perhaps of some limited relevance: what is driving the apparent semi-visibility of these little For Ex sites? They seem, given brief looks over, to be aimed at a two sorts of clients: the traveller who for some queer reason wants to convert money in advance (I suppose sensible for some countries, although why one would one want to do so as a general matter utterly escapes me) and a sort of day trading type of retail For Ex market speculator. I suppose perhaps there is also an angle perhaps for the smaller importer or exporter who might need For Ex market services, and these might be cheaper than bank based services.

Now, the first, I can vaguely understand as noted - I guess the sort of person who doesn't want to be troubled with airport exchange facilities or perhaps travelling to places where such are hardish to come by (although in my experience one runs into the nasty correlation with For Ex controls for bringing currency in and out of country), and the last I guess I can see a market.

The second, however, truly gives me pause. For Ex market is well known for eating up the marginal players - probably worse than commodities which at least are a bit easier to track as far as macro-economic and even micro-economic drivers on prices.

Is there some sudden boom in people, besides the deluded fools speculating in Iraqi dinar, trying the For Ex markets as a get rich scheme?

As an aside, I may mention that my (largely unkindly phrased) attempts at the aforementioned site went entirely unappreciated as the site participants remain married to the stunningly foolish concept that the Iraqi dinar will be revalued to some astounding level (and this despite clear downward market pressure on the dinar, as one would expect from a currency under the objective facts facing Iraq). It did lead to some entertaining flailing about and some 'unique' approaches to currency valuation discussed - I was mostly entertained by the fellow with the "model" that appeared to be largely numbers attached to a priori assertions of value tied to events. I was of course also disinvited from the game. No surprise there, for anyone with any fin sec experience the stench of self dealing and front running is easily detectable, although there it is likely of course done largely in blissful ignorance of ethics and the like.

Posted by The Lounsbury at August 30, 2005 12:44 PM
Filed Under: Perso Biz Notes

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Comments

sounds like one huge scam wrapped in a website to me. reminds me a bit of earlier scams although none come to mind directly.

maybe For Ex is the new viagra?

if you were a bit more unscrupulous you could probably make a lot of money in short order off those iraqi dinar speculators.

and i should really learn to spell one day. ah well. priorities.

Posted by: drdougfir at August 30, 2005 05:40 PM

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