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October 14, 2006

We don't trust you but we want to invest in you...

Some thoughts on a conference call I just participated in with respect to an American group with some kind of US Gov backing (to be frank not sure the nature, but apparently some US G capital went into the Fund) and some MENA region investors.

The best moment in the call came when the American group came out with the phrase, "you realise if we put our capital in, you have to personally engage to be subject to the US Patriot Act." What that means in an effective legal sense to a bunch of MENA investors who are off-shore is unclear to me, although given the increasingly imperial ambitions of American law enforcement (The brit banker thing still sticks in the craw of us people off-shore, for example) it might have real impact. The silence that followed spoke volumes. Now, mind you the MENA investors side are all clean people (well most of them I know to be clean, I have confidence in the remainders). But who the fuck wants to sign on to being subject to the highly political vagaries of American "anti-terror" legislation. Especially if one has the handicap of being Muslim in an increasingly hysterical anti-Muslim atmosphere in "Patriot" circles?

But what was queerest is (i) it is the Americans who are making the approach - I presume under official pressure to put US Gov capital to work in the MENA region, but (ii) all the riders and attachments to their efforts (using those terms metaphorically) say "We don't trust dirty Muslims and Arabs, goddamned terrorists..." Any one measure doesn't seem inherently unreasonable, but the overall package - non-negotiable - smells. I am no longer surprised by an opinion I recently heard from an American investment banker based in the Gulf who said to me, in talking about investment opportunities "I no longer want to touch anything with US government association, bad for my business."

There are real concerns for the Americans to address, but if they want to engage in the MENA region, their approach at present is counter-productive to their real aims. But in an atomosphere of magical thinking, what can I expect. Need to find a Sterling paid job, however.

Posted by The Lounsbury at October 14, 2006 01:56 PM
Filed Under: Politics - US FP

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Comments

It is just as hysterical in the UK. New FSA regulations re KYC and money laundering have landed the onus on the banker and not the client (hence the former can and will go to prison even if his intention was pure but his follow up poor). ALthough not as extreme as the Patriot Act, these regulations effectively lose institutions business especially from the Middle East as few individuals let alone companies pass rigorous KYC tests, this in addition to the reluctance of potential clients to go through such invasivesness as is entailed by the investigations. Everybody's poorer and terrorism funds still manage to be remitted through informal means. At least we're free and still drawing a salary.

Posted by: Meph at October 14, 2006 07:11 PM

And then we get companies like Caribou Coffee going all short-thobed...

Posted by: secretdubai [TypeKey Profile Page] at October 14, 2006 07:13 PM

Well, hell, if there's free money to be had...

Posted by: Tom Scudder at October 14, 2006 08:38 PM

What free money, mate?

This is not grant money, we're talking equity investment.

Posted by: The Lounsbury at October 14, 2006 09:33 PM

The Caribiou item is actually quite interesting. I should follow up on it.

Posted by: The Lounsbury at October 14, 2006 09:34 PM

I think America, and to a lesser extent, Europe, are regulating themselves right out of many markets. American investors just aren't that valuable a source of capital these days that folks in MENA are willing to jump through hoops while doing back flips to entice them to invest.

There's so much silly money sloshing around the gulf right now I'm puzzled that anyone in MENA would actively court American capital, especially USG-backed American capital. Apart from all the extra crap they must put up with, there's enough potential political risk in having a U.S. connection to your fund or project that the promoters should be demanding a premium from U.S. investors to allow them to invest in MENA projects.

BTW, Islamic-friendly investing is just a subspecies of "social investing" and social investing as a class always underperforms. Having said that, many of the ridiculous restrictions and requirments now being demanded by the USG are equally a form of "social investing." I therefore predict that investments made in conformance with these requlations will also underperform.

Posted by: Anonymous at October 15, 2006 10:36 PM

A clarification: There's so much silly money sloshing around the gulf right now I'm puzzled that anyone in MENA would actively court American capital, especially USG-backed American capital.

Actually it is a bit the other way around. Regardless, in the capital poor countries, there is still enough of a lack of capital that wants to go into certain asset classes (which is to say, non-Real Estate backed) that outside capital remains important. And then of course in the Maghreb their connexions and style is so different from those of the Gulf that while more money from Gulf is flowing there, it remains less than ideal.

You're right re Islamic Investing being a sub-species of social investing (generally), although I would rephrase to say "social investing as a class generally underperforms." Generally.

I agree re the USG regs, which are entirely self-defeating and borderline perverse.

Posted by: The Lounsbury at October 16, 2006 10:49 AM

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