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September 02, 2007
Morocco gets the Millenium Challenge Loot
Well, near 700 millions of USD in grants is not bad, over 5 years - of course with a USD that's declining unless MCC has fully hedged itself, that's more like 500 million Euro I'd guess, but not a bad chunk of loot, eh?
I recall running into a US diplo a few years ago who went on and on about the Moroccan proposal being nothing but a bunch of incoherent demands to plug budget holes, now it seems that the Moroccans wore them out.
More to the point for characters like me, is there possibility to leverage this money on private investments (i.e.hopefully all the blithering on about investment to boost productivity will have some foundation).
One item to note:
On the corruption front, Morocco has slipped to 79th out of 163 nations on Transparency International’s corruption perceptions index, from 45th out of 100 nations in 1999.
Transparency's index has always irritated me as frankly my experience tells me that Morocco is less corrupt now than it used to be ten years ago. Tolerance for corruption rather seems to be decreasing.
Granted this is not an easy thing to measure, but nevertheless.
Posted by The Lounsbury at September 2, 2007 10:58 AM
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The Maghreb
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Comments
Relative to the TI index, it isn't so much decreasing tolerance to corruption which bothers me(it is a Good Thing as long as one keeps in mind that practice and theory always have discrepancies and real life takes time and efforts to adjust towards a Better Thing), but the fact that it's extremely subjective in its inception.
As for where you could leverage those grants, I have no idea how they'll reach the shores of Barbary, but in very broad general terms, the first thing that comes to mind for the Maghreb is outsourcing. North Africa could be to Europe, esp. its francophone part, what China or India are to the US.
Posted by: Shaheen
at September 2, 2007 04:09 PM
About the TI ranking, might it not simply be that other nations positioned around Morocco in the table have cleaned up faster? Since I guess Morocco is stuck with most other developing nations, in a corrupt cluster, some small improvements on the part of similar states could throw Morocco far back in the table even if it is objectively improving. (Like how the US recently dropped 30 spaces or so in some press freedom ranking, b/c of some minor legal dispute, just because the margins are so tight up at the top.)
Or maybe there's a fixed score too. Too lazy to check.
Posted by: alle at September 2, 2007 07:45 PM
Ah mate, the grants are all investment in infrastructure re agribiz and the like. Nothing direct, but perhaps biofuels or something interesting like that.
Posted by: The Lounsbury at September 3, 2007 08:52 PM
As Lounsbury wrote, these corruption perception indexes are not scientific, and could never be. I wouldn't know myself if corruption has risen or fallen the last ten years. On the daily level, I'd say it has stayed the same or risen. On the business deals level, I think that the dramatic growth of freedom of expression the last decade has made the risk of discovery and public outcry a dampening factor, but this is only my feeling.
As for the MCC, don't forget the USA/EU competition in Morocco: the European Commission disbursed 265 million euros in grants to Morocco last year alone, and Morocco is due to get 165 million euros per year over the 2007-2013 period (incredibly enough, Morocco was last year's third EU development aid beneficiary in the world, after Bosnia and Turkey). To that you should add what the Member States are doling out, especially France, Spain and Germany. The US is merely trying to catch up...
Posted by: Ibn Kafka at September 4, 2007 12:26 PM
On the corruption front, Morocco has slipped to 79th out of 163 nations on Transparency International’s corruption perceptions index, from 45th out of 100 nations in 1999.
Uhhh, this statistic does not say that Morocco has become more corrupt. In fact, without more, it says that corruption in Morocco is unchanged relative to other countries.
In 1999, Morocco ranked 45th out of 100 countries, i.e, in the top 45 percent. Now, it ranks 79th out of 163 countries i.e., in the top 48 percent.
Posted by: Anonymous at September 7, 2007 07:30 PM
Right, something of a stupid conceptual mischaracterisation by me.
I suppose my gut reaction is driven by the relative standings, where taking relative ranking, I just don't feel it....
But then I am mistaking personal experience for overall.
Posted by: The Lounsbury at September 7, 2007 08:06 PM
Actually, not really your fault at all. It's the FT that talks about how Morocco has "slipped." Pity we can't e-mail Andrew England -- or better yet, his editor -- and suggest that they leave the analysis to the statistically literate, no matter how much they think their random factoids spice up a story.
Honestly, I expect this crap from most media outlets but I hope for better from places like the FT.
Anyway, it's quite likely that your personal observations are dead spot on. I think there is reason to believe that corruption, especially petty corruption, is decreasing worldwide. It's quite possible that Morocco is less corrupt than it was ten years ago. In any event, that statistic doesn't really offer evidence one way or the other.
Posted by: Anonymous at September 8, 2007 03:27 AM

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