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November 13, 2007

Emerging Markets Financing and Aid, experienced bollocks

Although I would very much like to delve into the guts of this, sadly - well not sadly as this is life - general interest and client confidentiality requires circumscription.

However the main point of this comment is a disgusted practitioner's cris de couer as to the sheer idiocy of various "business development programs either pimped by EU or US or ... well you bloody well can guess the actors. I should add that I do not think that these programs are not ipso facto pissing money down a rat hole... as I think some American Senator said in the 90s. Even as a .. well highly value added oriented actor entirely willing to admit that I am both a a profit whore and that most aid is shit (due to utterly fucked incentives) - well there having said the necessary.

Aid Development programs run by kids are ... just doomed. Kids, however talented just don't know enough not to propose either to me (and I bloody well as fucking connected enough to hear independently even if said Dev Prog had not openly confessed...)

I am at present pained by a Med Basin blah blah proposition for financing that I got on my desk that just was passed on.

I have, i should say, despite my [classic] Liberal attitudes on market and government policy nothing against market enabling international or national programs that aim to overcome either (and let me emphasize the near equal evils in the post Soviet world) governmental - usually in my experience this past decade the worst - or market barriers - I will call them wrinkles.

Having noted this, I have to say that the ability of "Private Sector Development" programs to produce complete idiocies is amazing.

Or not amaizing as even when these programs engage peiople like myself, or when the development people design a "private sector development program" the real incentives are bureaucratic and here is the rela problem:

NO ONE CAN ADDRESS THE REAL PROBLEMS - because real problems reside in (i) budgeting timeliness - esp. yearly national ones that drive worse decisioning and thus playing to worse cases, (ii) contract horizons, as some of the real value add propositions require a venture capital (6-10 yr) perspective. Oddly that is one reason to outsource - fully but with proper reporting and ongoing macro committee - this kind of highest impact assistance....

But let me return to the reason that provoked my reaction - which I should highlight is not "incidental" but really built on my experience:

One of the EU MEDA programs approached my firm for advisory services, etc, re an company they are trying to support, whose financing was rejected. Looking at the proposition, it was not difficult to see why, as who would bloody well finance 100% of an XX million Euro project with debt. Who the fuck pimps 100% debt in emerging markets?

Of course the development people who are motivated by ... well the incentives their projects give them and and are not real business / finance people will not see the sheer madness of such a proposal. Above all for a 'start up'

But there resides the problem.

How do you get real needs serviced? I freely admit despite my 'Ultra Liberal' tendencies that this needs extra private sector intervention, but as frankly the Sachs bloody whanking on serves nothing.

The question, how the bloody fuck can one overcome the problems noted, structurally?

I know how to do it at my level and I am happy to put my own equity at risk - but the problem is not this Lounsbury, it is .. a model.

And I don't bloody well have an answer.

I wish I did.

I really do.

Posted by The Lounsbury at November 13, 2007 10:11 PM
Filed Under: MENA VC & Priv. Equity , Perso Biz Notes

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Comments

How do you get real needs serviced?

By having competent people convinced there are opportunities there (unserviced real needs are opportunities). If there's not enough money flowing, it only means opportunities are left on the table for when they're discovered. Like a mine of gold just sitting there untouched.

Aid programs are a non issue as far as I'm concerned. I mean, some can be useful for sure (e.g. providing garantee for debt financing is, though I'm not sure this is the case you're dealing with), but if they're not well structured to accomplish actual results, well, their existence shouldn't be a concern either. Let whoever pays for them worry about their inefficiency.

Posted by: Shaheen [TypeKey Profile Page] at November 14, 2007 05:26 AM

Can one rig up a development plan with proper incentives in a place like MENA where the entire society has had its incentives fucked by the state and lack of trust?

Posted by: Djuha at November 15, 2007 02:19 AM

I won't pretend to speak intelligently on the economic questions at the root, just (as someone who has worked as an editor) on the formatting and grammar/spelling questions: Lounsbury, are you writing most of these posts while drunk/intoxicated?

I don't imagine that it's hurting your analytical process (tho I can't judge there) but it's not helping you to post too coherently, and the switch to bold halfway through - perhaps unintentionally - is a little strange.

Value-added, tho, I might add - as I continue to read these posts, like the other lurkers who want to know more about financial skull-duggery but prefer to allow you to keep your anonymity.

Posted by: dawud at November 17, 2007 06:24 AM

Mate, I write my posts almost exclusively after making my contributions to the Cuban Revolution. Otherwise I am too busy.

The bold error however is not, sadly, related to the above, but merely my poor coding skills and my disdain for proofreading.

Posted by: The Lounsbury at November 18, 2007 06:57 PM

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